“Trump Announces 100% Tariff on Imported Brand-Name Drugs Starting October 1”

Times in Pakistan
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“Trump announces new U.S. tariffs on imported pharmaceuticals to encourage domestic manufacturing.”

Trump Announces 100% Tariffs on Brand-Name Drugs to Boost U.S. Manufacturing

President Donald Trump announced Thursday that starting October 1, brand-name or patented pharmaceutical products imported into the United States will face a 100% tariff unless the manufacturer is actively building a production facility on U.S. soil. The move aims to encourage domestic production, strengthen the supply chain for critical medicines, and pressure pharmaceutical companies to invest in the United States.

Trump has long promised to impose tariffs on drug imports, which were largely exempt during his first term. The president has framed the measure as part of his broader strategy to reduce drug costs, though industry experts have questioned whether tariffs will actually lower prices for consumers.

Pharmaceutical Industry Responds

Major drugmakers are taking Trump’s tariff threats seriously, committing hundreds of billions of dollars to expand or build U.S. manufacturing facilities. Recently, Eli Lilly announced plans for a $6.5 billion plant in Houston and a $5 billion facility near Richmond, Virginia, signaling the industry’s proactive response.

Trump clarified the conditions for exemption in a post on Truth Social: “‘IS BUILDING’ will be defined as, ‘breaking ground’ and/or ‘under construction.’ There will, therefore, be no tariff on these pharmaceutical products if construction has started.”

However, construction timelines may limit immediate relief. Even with ground broken, full production could take years—Eli Lilly, for instance, expects its new plants to be operational in up to five years.

“The actual comment from the President is direct, but its impact may be somewhere between nebulous and negligible,” said Jared Holz, an analyst at Mizuho. “All major players already have some domestic production and are investing further in U.S. facilities.”

Stock Market Reaction

Following the announcement, European drugmakers like AstraZeneca, GSK, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, and Sanofi experienced minimal stock movement, as all have ongoing or planned U.S. manufacturing. However, some Asian pharmaceutical companies—including Alibaba Health, Chugai, Daiichi, JD Health, Samsung Biologics, Sankyo, and WuXi AppTec—saw more notable declines on Asian exchanges, despite exemptions or small U.S. market shares.

Industry Concerns

The Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA) warned that tariffs could jeopardize ongoing investments. Alex Schriver, PhRMA senior vice president, stated: “Tariffs risk those plans because every dollar spent on tariffs is a dollar that cannot be invested in American manufacturing or the development of future treatments and cures.”

Analysts also note that while larger pharmaceutical companies are mostly insulated due to active U.S. projects, smaller manufacturers could face significant exposure.

Global Supply Chains

Experts caution that these tariffs are unlikely to dramatically reduce the U.S. reliance on foreign sources for key pharmaceutical ingredients. The industry is global, with raw materials and finished products produced in multiple countries.

Neil Shearing, chief economist at Capital Economics, highlighted that U.S. importers may have stockpiled medicines in anticipation of tariffs, which could soften immediate effects. However, those inventories will eventually deplete, potentially impacting prices and supply.

For exporting countries, the impact is expected to be limited. European Union nations are most dependent on pharmaceutical exports to the U.S., but a prior 15% tariff on EU goods—with exemptions for generics—remains in place. A European Commission spokesperson emphasized that this cap ensures EU exporters are protected from higher tariffs.

Generic Drugs and India

Notably, Trump’s announcement did not include generic pharmaceuticals, which are more sensitive to price hikes due to thin profit margins. Generic manufacturers could either absorb the tariffs or withdraw products from the U.S. market, potentially affecting availability.

India, a major supplier of generics accounting for nearly 47% of U.S. pharmaceutical imports, is largely unaffected for now. Namit Joshi, chairman of India’s Pharmaceutical Export Promotion Council, stated that the bulk of Indian exports are generics, and many companies already operate U.S.-based manufacturing or repackaging facilities.

Broader Tariff Context

Thursday’s tariff announcement coincided with other measures, including a 50% levy on kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities, 30% on upholstered furniture, and 25% on imported heavy trucks. These moves reflect a broader push to strengthen U.S. manufacturing across multiple sectors.

Trump also signaled the possibility of even higher tariffs, up to 250%, on drug imports over time, pending the results of a national security review on pharmaceutical reliance. The administration’s investigation is expected to set the stage for additional measures affecting the industry.

Looking Ahead

While the immediate impact on major U.S. pharmaceutical companies may be limited due to ongoing construction projects, smaller firms and international suppliers could face significant challenges. Analysts predict that while stockpiled inventories and existing U.S. production mitigate short-term disruptions, the tariffs could shape long-term investment decisions and supply chain strategies.

The announcement underscores Trump’s focus on domestic manufacturing and economic nationalism, while raising questions about potential effects on drug costs, supply security, and international trade dynamics.

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